Outlook for March – April – May (MAM) 2023
The Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD) released the March – April – May 2023 Seasonal Weather Forecast, which anticipated that below-average rainfall is expected over the Lake Victoria Basin, Highlands West of the Rift Valley, Central Rift Valley, Highlands East of the Rift Valley (including Nairobi County), Coastal region, most of Northeastern and Southeastern Lowlands, and Western parts of Narok. Generally, near-average rainfall is expected over parts of Northwestern (Central and eastern, Turkana), parts of South Rift Valley (Eastern Narok), parts of Southeastern lowlands (Kajiado), and the Western parts of Marsabit.
Potential impacts in Disaster Risk Management (DRM) sector and advice to stakeholders and members of the public
The forecast highlights some of the potential impacts in each sector. Under DRM, it indicates that, in the Lake Victoria Basin and the Highlands West of the Rift Valley, lightning strikes are highly probable, especially in Kisii, Nyamira, Kericho, Bomet, Kisumu, Nandi, Bungoma (Mt. Elgon areas), and Kakamega Counties. Residents in these areas are advised not to shelter under trees or near metallic structures when it is raining.
There is a possibility of isolated storms that may cause floods in low-lying areas and along rivers. The public is advised not to walk through flooded waters or cross swollen rivers to avoid loss of lives.
County Governments are also advised to clear drainages in good time to avert artificial flooding of the urban areas. Water passages, alleys, channels and dried up rivers should also be cleared of debris, to avoid flooding in the event of sudden storms during the season.
DRM Stakeholders, as well as humanitarian organizations, are advised to enhance the measures that are already being implemented to avert the loss of lives, livelihoods, and livestock. Local leaders are urged to promote peace and encourage resource sharing among the communities.
NDMU will continue to undertake stakeholders’ sensitizations/awareness creation and capacity building on disaster preparedness for effective response and building back better in recovery. You may reach us through our Twitter Handle @NDMU_Kenya or EMAIL: firstname.lastname@example.org